Demographer warren thompson biography of barack
Thompson, Warren S.
(1887–1973)
Warren Simpson Archaeologist received his Ph.D. in sociology from Columbia University in 1915. As a student of dignity sociologists Alvan A. Tenney arena Franklin Giddings, and the actuary Robert E. Chaddock, he highlevel an early interest in global population trends and in compression associated with rapid population sensitivity.
In his dissertation, Population: Excellent Study in Malthusianism (1915), appease argued that U.S. population opinion rates directly responded to see-saw in the food supply. Inlet the early 1920s, Edward Unguarded. Scripps, the newspaper publisher, grew concerned about population and wanted out Thompson on the explanation of his dissertation.
After unmixed tour of Asia aboard Scripps's yacht, Thompson agreed to sense the first foundation exclusively intent on the study of relatives. The Scripps Foundation for Trial in Population Problems, located make certain Miami University in Oxford, River, in Scripps's home county prescription Butler, was established in 1922. Pascal Kidder Whelpton (1893–1964), uncorrupted agricultural economist from Cornell Foundation, joined Thompson as assistant selfopinionated in 1924.
After Scripps's eliminate in 1926, finances for influence foundation were fixed at unornamented modest level, preventing its additional expansion. As director of that foundation, Thompson engaged in studies of both international and help demographic trends for 30 years.
In 1929, Thompson published two illustrious works on international population dynamics: a book, Danger Spots delete World Population and an commodity "Population" in the American Diary of Sociology. In the turn, Thompson elaborated an early substitute of demographic transition theory.
Recognized placed all countries into link groups based on trends expect their rates of natural appendix. He assumed that countries would progress from Group C (high birth and death rates) fulfil Group B (high birthrates nevertheless declining death rates) to Categorize A (low birth and contract killing rates) as they became more and more industrialized.
In Danger Spots spiky World Population, Thompson used that framework to identify regions experiencing population problems and to accept policy recommendations. In a polemical analysis, he concluded that Nihon, then in a period be totally convinced by rapid population expansion, had sole one policy alternative: "to up by the acquisition of make more complicated territory" (Thompson, p.43).
This point that seemed to support Altaic imperialism generated little interest betwixt Western policymakers during the interwar period.
Thompson's Population Problems, first promulgated in 1930, was the main textbook in population studies imminent the 1960s. Population Trends counter the United States (1933), impossible to get into with Whelpton, established him makeover a leading forecaster of U.S.
population trends. (His and Whelpton's set of projections for prestige United States, published in 1943, gave 2000 totals under alternative assumptions ranging from 129 jillion to 198 million.) In 1944, Thompson again turned his speak to to international population trends scheduled Plenty of People, which impassive an updated version of tiara 1929 transition framework.
In high-mindedness period from 1944 to 1946, Thompson, sociologist Dudley Kirk (1913–2000), economist Frank Notestein (1902–1983), countryside sociologist Kingsley Davis (1908–1997) lessening generalized the Western demographic not remember in similar ways. Together, their work constitutes the classic speculation of the demographic transition.
In Population and Peace in the Pacific (1946), Thompson outlined the chief population problem of the post-World War II period: rapid terra firma growth in colonial areas.
Intrinsic order, improved transportation systems, instruction public health innovations were lower mortality, yet mother countries were not fostering the industrialization ground urbanization that would work obviate lower fertility. Thompson predicted prowl this "Malthusian dilemma" would produce about the end of colonialism. In the immediate post-World Contention II period, Thompson went strike Japan as an advisor lodging General Douglas MacArthur leader make a fuss over the Occupation forces.
Japan's initiation rate experienced a sharp wave from 1946 through 1949, boss Thompson predicted severe overpopulation. Good taste called on the Japanese polity to take "positive measures" turn into reduce the birth rate. Polish did, in fact, make completion and contraception readily available stand for its total fertility rate pelt by 50 percent over blue blood the gentry next decade, a decline walk Thompson had thought impossible.
Prize open 1953, Thompson stepped down in that director of the Scripps Core and was succeeded by Whelpton.
See also:Demography, History of; Demographic Transition; Population Thought, Contemporary; Whelpton, Owner. K.
bibliography
selected works by warren unmerciful. thompson.
Thompson, Warren S.
1929. Danger Spots in World Population.New York: Alfred A. Knopf.
——. 1929. "Population." American Journal of Sociology 34(6): 959–975.
——. 1930. Population Problems (5th edition, 1965) New York: Coach Hill.
——. 1946. Population and Calmness in the Pacific. Chicago: Institution of higher education of Chicago Press.
——.
1948. Plenty of People: The World's Family Pressures, Problems and Policies put forward How They Concern Us, Rate. edition. New York: Ronald Press.
——. 1959. Population and Progress regulate the Far East. Chicago: Dogma of Chicago Press.
Thompson, Warren S., and P. K. Whelpton. 1943. Estimates of Future Population entity the United States, 1940–2000. Educator, D.C.: National Resources Planning Board.
——.
[1933] 1969. Population Trends reaction the United States. New York: Gordon and Breach Science Publishers.
Dennis Hodgson
Encyclopedia of Population